Politics · Open for opinions
Will any other U.S. state pass a law restricting or banning prediction market platforms by the end of 2026?
Utah passed a law banning prediction markets, leading Kalshi to challenge it in court. 21 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Utah passed a law banning prediction markets, leading Kalshi to challenge it in court. The move sparked debate about a possible domino effect in other U.S. states.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se, além do Utah, pelo menos mais um estado dos EUA sancionar legislação que restrinja, regulamente de forma proibitiva ou proíba explicitamente plataformas de mercados de previsão até 2026-12-31, conforme registro oficial da legislatura estadual correspondente. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.