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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazil achieve a primary surplus of the central government in 2026?

During a hearing, President Lula stated that he received the country with a deficit of 2.8% of GDP in 2023 and projected a primary… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

During a hearing, President Lula stated that he received the country with a deficit of 2.8% of GDP in 2023 and projected a primary surplus of 0.1% for 2026, which would be a significant fiscal milestone.

Source: www.instagram.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o resultado primário consolidado do governo central em 2026 for positivo (superávit), conforme relatório oficial do Tesouro Nacional publicado até janeiro de 2027.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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