Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi maintain a market share greater than 75% relative to Polymarket in October 2026?
In August 2026, Kalshi held 82% of the combined market share versus Polymarket (18%), according to DeFi Rate. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, Kalshi held 82% of the combined market share versus Polymarket (18%), according to DeFi Rate. Kalshi operates under US regulation (CFTC) and requires full KYC, while Polymarket is crypto-based. The battle for the American prediction market is growing.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada nos dados mensais de market share entre Kalshi e Polymarket publicados pelo DeFi Rate (defirate.com/prediction-markets/volume/polymarket/) referentes a outubro de 2026. Se a fatia da Kalshi for superior a 75%, resolve Sim; caso contrário, Não.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.