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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the accumulated IPCA for 2026 close above 5.00%?

The Central Bank's Focus report, released in September 2026, showed a new reduction in the IPCA projection for 2026, which fell… 37 opinions, 54% Yes

  • Yes — 54%
  • No — 46%

Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 37 opinions

Resolution rules

The Central Bank's Focus report, released in September 2026, showed a new reduction in the IPCA projection for 2026, which fell exactly to 5.00%. With persistent inflation and an institutional crisis in the STF adding economic uncertainty, there is a risk that the index will exceed this mark.

Source: www.threads.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base no IPCA acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026, divulgado pelo IBGE. Se o valor oficial for superior a 5,00%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.

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Will the accumulated IPCA for 2026 close above 5.00%? — 54% Yes · VoxFi