Technology · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi or Polymarket lead in total trading volume in the US in Q4 2026?
Kalshi and Polymarket are the main US prediction market platforms, with distinct profiles: Kalshi is regulated and strong in… 20 opinions, 35% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 35%
- Polymarket — 30%
- Technical tie (difference less than 5%) — 35%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket are the main US prediction market platforms, with distinct profiles: Kalshi is regulated and strong in sports and American politics, while Polymarket has higher liquidity and global event coverage, especially in crypto and international politics.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em dados de volume de negociações reportados por fontes independentes reconhecidas (ex: Dune Analytics, relatórios públicos das próprias plataformas) referentes ao período de outubro a dezembro de 2026, com publicação até 15/01/2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 35% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 65 points, a wrong one costs about 35.