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Technology · Open for opinions

Will the US announce new export restrictions on advanced AI chips to China by December 2026?

Snippet [2] indicates that China's Ministry of Commerce held closed-door meetings and that the US and China already treat AI as a… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Snippet [2] indicates that China's Ministry of Commerce held closed-door meetings and that the US and China already treat AI as a strategic weapon. The recent history of chip restrictions fuels expectations of new regulatory moves.

Source: www.instagram.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base em publicação oficial no Federal Register dos EUA ou comunicado do Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) do Departamento de Comércio americano, confirmando novas regras de controle de exportação de chips de IA direcionadas à China, com data de publicação até 31/12/2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the US announce new export restrictions on advanced AI chips to… — 50% Yes · VoxFi