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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Central Bank's Focus Bulletin indicate a Selic rate below 13.25% for the end of 2026 by November 30, 2026?

Focus economists have already reduced the projection to 13.25% by the end of 2026. 79 opinions, 72% No

  • Yes — 28%
  • No — 72%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Focus economists have already reduced the projection to 13.25% by the end of 2026. The market is monitoring whether further downward revisions will occur in the coming weeks.

Source: www.bloomberglinea.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Mediana das expectativas para a Selic no fim de 2026, conforme Boletim Focus publicado pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br) até 30 de novembro de 2026. Resolve 'Sim' se a mediana for inferior a 13,25%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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