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Will the Federal Reserve raise US interest rates at least once by December 31, 2026?
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled at the Jackson Hole symposium (08/28/2026) that the central bank does not rule out a rate hike, as… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled at the Jackson Hole symposium (08/28/2026) that the central bank does not rule out a rate hike, as inflation remains above target. Bets in the rates market increased after the speech.
Source: www.npr.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada na decisão oficial do FOMC publicada em federalreserve.gov. O mercado resolve 'Sim' se o comunicado de qualquer reunião do FOMC até 31/12/2026 registrar elevação da taxa dos fed funds em relação ao nível vigente em 29/08/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.