Finance · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will lead in trading volume in the US in Q4 2026?
In August 2026, Polymarket was considered the world's largest prediction platform by volume, but Kalshi was advancing rapidly… 20 opinions, 25% Polymarket
- Polymarket — 25%
- Kalshi — 25%
- Robinhood Prediction Markets — 25%
- Other platform — 25%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, Polymarket was considered the world's largest prediction platform by volume, but Kalshi was advancing rapidly in the regulated US market, and Robinhood announced ambitious global expansion.
Source: ftw.usatoday.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em rankings ou relatórios de volume publicados por veículos especializados (ex.: USA Today FTW, Business Insider Markets, Fortune) referentes ao período outubro-dezembro de 2026, divulgados até 31/01/2027. A alternativa com maior volume de negociações registrado vence.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Polymarket has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.