Politics · Open for opinions
Will Republicans retain control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections?
The U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The U.S. midterm elections in November 2026 take place amid declining approval of the Trump administration, an unpopular war with Iran, and weak economic sentiment, factors that historically benefit the opposition party.
Source: www.hamiltonlane.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Partido Republicano obtiver 218 ou mais cadeiras na Câmara dos Representantes após a apuração oficial das eleições de novembro de 2026, conforme divulgado pelo Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives (clerk.house.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.