World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut the interest rate (fed funds rate) before the end of 2026?
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh reiterated that price stability is the priority, avoiding clear signals about rate cuts. 80 opinions, 78% No
- Yes — 23%
- No — 78%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 80 opinions
Resolution rules
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh reiterated that price stability is the priority, avoiding clear signals about rate cuts. With inflation at 3.7% and persistent pressures from AI and the conflict in Iran, the market is debating whether the Fed will act before the end of the year.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base nas decisões de política monetária do Federal Reserve divulgadas oficialmente pelo FOMC até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se houver ao menos um corte na fed funds rate; resolve 'Não' caso a taxa seja mantida ou elevada em todas as reuniões restantes de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.