Crypto · Open for opinions
Will decentralized prediction market platforms like Polymarket be formally regulated by the CFTC in the US by February 2027?
Prediction markets like Polymarket gained mainstream visibility in 2025-2026, driven by crypto adoption and record volumes during… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 27, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction markets like Polymarket gained mainstream visibility in 2025-2026, driven by crypto adoption and record volumes during elections. The regulatory question in the US remains open, with the CFTC monitoring the sector.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publicar no Federal Register, até 28/02/2027, uma regra final ou ordem de compliance formalmente aplicável a plataformas de mercados de previsão descentralizadas baseadas em cripto. Comunicados informativos ou consultas públicas não são suficientes para resolver 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.