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Finance · Open for opinions

What will be the level of the Selic rate at the end of the first quarter of 2027?

Copom kept the Selic rate at 13.75% in November 2026, interrupting the cutting cycle amid fiscal pressure, a… 89 opinions, 42% Above 14.25% per year

  • Above 14.25% per year — 42%
  • Between 13.76% and 14.25% per year — 30%
  • At 13.75% per year — 18%
  • Below 13.75% per year — 10%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

Copom kept the Selic rate at 13.75% in November 2026, interrupting the cutting cycle amid fiscal pressure, a rising dollar, and uncertainties regarding the conduct of economic policy in Lula's new term.

Source: veja.abril.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base na decisão oficial do Copom divulgada na última reunião ordinária do primeiro trimestre de 2027 (março de 2027). Fonte: comunicado oficial do Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Above 14.25% per year has 42% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 58 points, a wrong one costs about 42.

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