Technology · Open for opinions
Will Elon Musk make at least 500 posts on X between 10/15 and 10/31/2026?
Evaluates Elon Musk's posting rate during the second half of October. 82 opinions, 61% Yes
- Yes — 61%
- No — 39%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 82 opinions
Resolution rules
Evaluates Elon Musk's posting rate during the second half of October.
Source: previsao.io
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 15/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a conta @elonmusk publicar 500 ou mais entradas (posts e respostas somados) até 31/10/2026, com verificação pelos registros públicos da API da plataforma X ou agregadores auditáveis. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.