Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi's cumulative volume exceed $200 billion by December 31, 2026?
By July 2026, Kalshi had already recorded $155.7 billion in cumulative volume and over 982.6 million trades, surpassing Polymarket… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
By July 2026, Kalshi had already recorded $155.7 billion in cumulative volume and over 982.6 million trades, surpassing Polymarket as the category leader.
Source: x.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a Kalshi divulgar oficialmente, em seu site ou relatório público, volume acumulado superior a US$ 200 bilhões até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.