Science · Open for opinions
Will 2026 be confirmed by NASA or NOAA as the hottest year on record on Earth?
A new study published in October 2026 by AGU reaffirms overwhelming evidence that greenhouse gas emissions are driving changes… 79 opinions, 62% Yes
- Yes — 62%
- No — 38%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
A new study published in October 2026 by AGU reaffirms overwhelming evidence that greenhouse gas emissions are driving changes across Earth's entire climate system, a context in which 2026 emerges as a candidate to break global temperature records.
Source: news.agu.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se tanto o NASA GISS quanto o NOAA publicarem relatório oficial (esperado em janeiro/fevereiro de 2027) confirmando 2026 como o ano mais quente da série histórica global. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.