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Will US inflation (annual CPI) fall below 4% by February 2027?

Barkin said he is 'open to the possibility' of inflation falling rapidly, but acknowledged that prices could remain elevated as long… 47 opinions, 72% No

  • Yes — 28%
  • No — 72%

Deadline: February 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 47 opinions

Resolution rules

Barkin said he is 'open to the possibility' of inflation falling rapidly, but acknowledged that prices could remain elevated as long as the war with Iran continues. The Fed has raised interest rates to combat persistent inflation.

Source: thehill.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no dado oficial do CPI anual dos EUA divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov) referente a janeiro de 2027, publicado em fevereiro de 2027. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o CPI anual for inferior a 4,0%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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Will US inflation (annual CPI) fall below 4% by February 2027? — 72% No · VoxFi