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Technology · Open for opinions

Will OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic confirm the leak of weights of one of their closed LLMs by 10/31/2026?

New research highlighting fundamental security flaws in LLMs reignites the debate about the real ability of tech giants to protect… 15 opinions, 87% No

  • Yes — 13%
  • No — 87%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions

Resolution rules

New research highlighting fundamental security flaws in LLMs reignites the debate about the real ability of tech giants to protect the code of their most valuable closed models.

Source: www.technologyreview.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 08/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se OpenAI, Google ou Anthropic emitirem comunicado oficial confirmando o vazamento ou roubo não autorizado dos pesos (model weights) de um de seus modelos proprietários de IA. Rumores ou reportagens de terceiros sem a admissão oficial da própria empresa afetada (em seu blog, site institucional ou release de imprensa) não bastam. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 87% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 13 points, a wrong one costs about 87.

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