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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the 12-month accumulated IPCA up to October 2026 be below 5%?

IBGE monthly releases the IPCA, Brazil's main official inflation index. 88 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions

Resolution rules

IBGE monthly releases the IPCA, Brazil's main official inflation index. The reading for October 2026 is scheduled to be published in the second week of November. Inflation control is closely monitored by the Central Bank, which has an official target set by the CMN.

Source: g1.globo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o IPCA acumulado em 12 meses até outubro de 2026, divulgado pelo IBGE, for inferior a 5,00%. Fonte oficial: IBGE (sidra.ibge.gov.br ou nota de imprensa oficial do IPCA).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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