Finance · Open for opinions
Will Polymarket or Kalshi be banned in the US by December 31, 2026?
Growing public debate regarding the ban of prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket in the US, which allow betting on… 38 opinions, 89% No
- Yes — 11%
- No — 89%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
Growing public debate regarding the ban of prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket in the US, which allow betting on political and legislative outcomes.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução positiva se autoridade regulatória federal americana (CFTC, SEC ou Congresso) emitir ordem ou lei proibindo operação dessas plataformas no território americano até 31/12/2026, conforme registro oficial publicado no Federal Register ou comunicado da CFTC.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 89% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 11 points, a wrong one costs about 89.