Finance · Open for opinions
Which platform will lead trading volume in U.S. prediction markets in the first quarter of 2027?
Kalshi raised $300 million and doubled its valuation to $50 billion, pacing to surpass Polymarket in the U.S. 69 opinions, 52% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 52%
- Polymarket — 38%
- Other platform — 10%
Deadline: April 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi raised $300 million and doubled its valuation to $50 billion, pacing to surpass Polymarket in the U.S. market, while Polymarket maintains global liquidity leadership.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base em dados de volume de negociações nos EUA referentes ao período janeiro–março de 2027, conforme relatório oficial das plataformas, dados da CFTC ou publicação de veículo financeiro de referência (Bloomberg, Finance Magnates). A opção com maior volume declarado vence.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.