Finance · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Supreme Court (SCOTUS) agree to hear the case on the regulation of prediction markets (Kalshi/Polymarket) by March 2027?
The regulatory debate over prediction markets has reached the doorstep of the U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 8, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The regulatory debate over prediction markets has reached the doorstep of the U.S. Supreme Court. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are contesting federal classification while states seek to assume oversight of the sector.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada em anúncio oficial do SCOTUS (supremecourt.gov) de concessão de certiorari (writ of certiorari) para caso envolvendo regulação de plataformas de mercado de previsão como Kalshi ou Polymarket até 31/03/2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.