Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $60 billion by the end of 2026?
In 2025, Kalshi and Polymarket together generated more than $40 billion in trading volume, a significant increase from the ~$9… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In 2025, Kalshi and Polymarket together generated more than $40 billion in trading volume, a significant increase from the ~$9 billion of the previous year. The accelerated growth trend raises the question of whether the sector will reach $60 billion in 2026.
Source: markets.businessinsider.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se relatórios oficiais das plataformas Kalshi e/ou Polymarket, ou publicações verificáveis de mídia financeira especializada (ex: Business Insider, Bloomberg), confirmarem que o volume combinado acumulado em 2026 ultrapassou US$ 60 bilhões. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário ou se os dados não forem divulgados até 2027-01-31.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.