World · Open for opinions
Will the US Congress approve the debt ceiling increase without a prolonged impasse by June 2027?
The divided government formed after the 2026 midterm elections substantially raises the risk of a standoff over the debt ceiling. 89 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: June 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
The divided government formed after the 2026 midterm elections substantially raises the risk of a standoff over the debt ceiling. Analysts warn that such impasses can shake markets and the US credit rating.
Source: www.cushmanwakefield.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Congresso dos EUA aprovar legislação elevando ou suspendendo o teto da dívida federal antes de 1º de junho de 2027, sem que o Tesouro americano declare estado de inadimplência ou utilize medidas extraordinárias por mais de 30 dias consecutivos, conforme declaração do Departamento do Tesouro (treasury.gov). Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.