Politics · Open for opinions
Will the Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 2026 elections?
Active market on Kalshi and Polymarket with 24h volume of US$ 694.5 thousand. 28 opinions, 86% Yes
- Yes — 86%
- No — 14%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
Active market on Kalshi and Polymarket with 24h volume of US$ 694.5 thousand. Contracts point to an 85% chance of a Democratic victory and 16% for Republicans, reflecting the market's high expectation of a flip in control of the House.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolúvel com base nos resultados oficiais das eleições para a Câmara dos EUA de novembro de 2026, conforme apuração certificada pela Câmara dos Representantes dos Estados Unidos e reportada por fontes como AP Elections ou o site oficial house.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 86% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 14 points, a wrong one costs about 86.