Politics · Open for opinions
Who will lead the odds of winning the 2028 US presidential election on Polymarket in December 2026?
Polymarket already gives Marco Rubio a 9% chance for the 2028 election, making tracking candidates' odds an active and… 31 opinions, 35% Donald Trump Jr.
- Donald Trump Jr. — 35%
- Marco Rubio — 13%
- Kamala Harris — 23%
- Other candidate — 29%
Deadline: December 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 31 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket already gives Marco Rubio a 9% chance for the 2028 election, making tracking candidates' odds an active and highly engaged market.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no candidato que tiver a maior probabilidade de vitória listada na página de eleição presidencial 2028 da Polymarket (polymarket.com) na data de encerramento, 13/12/2026, conforme snapshot público da plataforma.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Donald Trump Jr. has 35% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 65 points, a wrong one costs about 35.