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Will Abiy Ahmed leave office as Prime Minister of Ethiopia by November 30, 2026?

Consider the institutional tenure of the Ethiopian Prime Minister following the formation of a new opposition alliance between 10/09… 79 opinions, 80% No

  • Yes — 20%
  • No — 80%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider the institutional tenure of the Ethiopian Prime Minister following the formation of a new opposition alliance between 10/09 and 11/30.

Source: www.bbc.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 09/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se Abiy Ahmed renunciar, for destituído ou deixar oficialmente o cargo de Primeiro-Ministro da Etiópia até 30/11/2026, conforme divulgado por canais governamentais etíopes, BBC News ou Reuters. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.

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Will Abiy Ahmed leave office as Prime Minister of Ethiopia by… — 80% No · VoxFi