Technology · Open for opinions
Will the US government publish new sanctions restricting Chinese access to American AI models between 09/10 and 10/31/2026?
Amid accusations that Chinese firms are copying 'frontier models', it remains to be seen whether the US government will issue formal… 24 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 24 opinions
Resolution rules
Amid accusations that Chinese firms are copying 'frontier models', it remains to be seen whether the US government will issue formal sanctions between 09/10 and 10/31/2026.
Source: arstechnica.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 10/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Departamento de Comércio dos EUA publicar oficialmente no Federal Register novas regras restringindo o fornecimento de modelos de IA de fronteira para a China até 31/10/2026. Caso nenhuma restrição oficial desse tipo seja publicada até o fim do prazo, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.