Finance · Open for opinions
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% in Oct 2026?
If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. 73 opinions, 95% No
- Yes — 5%
- No — 95%
Deadline: October 30, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC · 73 opinions
Resolution rules
If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 95% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 5 points, a wrong one costs about 95.