World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve implement two or more interest rate hikes by the end of 2026?
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly signaled that future hikes will depend on the evolution of shocks—including AI chip demand and… 76 opinions, 64% No
- Yes — 36%
- No — 64%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly signaled that future hikes will depend on the evolution of shocks—including AI chip demand and geopolitical conflicts fueling inflation.
Source: finance.yahoo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base nas decisões oficiais do FOMC publicadas em federalreserve.gov até 31/12/2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o intervalo-alvo dos fed funds for elevado em pelo menos duas reuniões distintas a partir de 06/10/2026; 'Não' se forem zero ou uma alta.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.