Science · Open for opinions
Will an independent research group publish a primordial helium measurement with an uncertainty equal to or less than 0.5% by April 2027?
In October 2026, scientists reduced the uncertainty in measuring the helium formed in the first five minutes after the Big Bang to… 85 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: April 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, scientists reduced the uncertainty in measuring the helium formed in the first five minutes after the Big Bang to just 0.5%, using 130 hours of observations from the Large Binocular Telescope across 15 pristine galaxies. Independent replication is a standard step in the scientific validation of adv
Source: www.sciencedaily.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução via publicação de artigo peer-reviewed em periódico científico de alto impacto (Nature, Science, Physical Review Letters ou The Astrophysical Journal) por equipe independente da que realizou a medição original, apresentando incerteza ≤ 0,5% na abundância de hélio primordial. Verificação via NASA ADS ou arXiv com DOI confirmado.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.