Finance · Open for opinions
Will the central government's primary deficit in 2026 exceed R$100 billion?
By August 2026, the central government's accumulated deficit had already reached R$94.9 billion, according to O Globo (09/29/2026). 72 opinions, 72% Yes
- Yes — 72%
- No — 28%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
By August 2026, the central government's accumulated deficit had already reached R$94.9 billion, according to O Globo (09/29/2026). There are still four months of fiscal results left to close the year.
Source: oglobo.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no relatório mensal das Contas do Governo Central publicado pelo Tesouro Nacional referente ao acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o déficit primário acumulado no ano superar R$100 bilhões.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.