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Technology · Open for opinions

Will the US formally adopt export restrictions or strategic classification for advanced AI models (such as those from OpenAI or Anthropic) by March 2027?

Advanced AI models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and other companies have once again been treated as strategic technology between… 71 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: March 27, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions

Resolution rules

Advanced AI models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and other companies have once again been treated as strategic technology between countries, according to a recent publication (09/26/2026).

Source: www.instagram.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução confirmada se o governo dos EUA publicar, no Federal Register ou por decreto executivo, regra formal classificando modelos avançados de IA como tecnologia estratégica sujeita a controle de exportação (Export Administration Regulations) até 31/03/2027.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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Will the US formally adopt export restrictions or strategic… — 55% Yes · VoxFi