Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish a proposal for new rules on poll derivatives by November 30, 2026?
Evaluates CFTC regulatory progress on event contracts between October 7 and November 30, 2026. 79 opinions, 54% Yes
- Yes — 54%
- No — 46%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Evaluates CFTC regulatory progress on event contracts between October 7 and November 30, 2026.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 07/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar no Federal Register ou em seu site oficial (cftc.gov) uma proposta formal de regulamentação (NPRM) voltada a derivativos ou plataformas de eventos/predição até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.