Politics · Open for opinions
Will Republicans receive above 14% of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. 78 opinions, 56% No
- Yes — 44%
- No — 56%
Deadline: February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM UTC · 78 opinions
Resolution rules
If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.