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Will the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates at least once by December 31, 2026?

The Fed faces a dilemma: inflation persistently above the 2% target and signs of economic slowdown complicate the decision on… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The Fed faces a dilemma: inflation persistently above the 2% target and signs of economic slowdown complicate the decision on interest rate cuts.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Comitê Federal de Mercado Aberto (FOMC) anunciar redução na taxa dos fed funds em qualquer reunião até 31/12/2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates at least once by… — 50% Yes · VoxFi