Science · Open for opinions
Will 2026 be declared the hottest year on record by NASA (GISS) or NOAA?
In October 2026, a major study reaffirmed 'uncontroversial' evidence of human influence on the climate, showing that over three… 79 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, a major study reaffirmed 'uncontroversial' evidence of human influence on the climate, showing that over three decades of 'climate fingerprint' research point to greenhouse gas emissions as the cause of changes in Earth's climate system.
Source: news.agu.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Declaração oficial da NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) ou da NOAA em relatório anual de temperatura global confirmando 2026 como o ano mais quente da série histórica de registros. Os relatórios costumam ser publicados entre janeiro e março do ano seguinte.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.