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Technology · Open for opinions

Will Mistral's ML4 model be ranked among the top 3 open models on the Chatbot Arena (LMSYS) by January 2027?

In October 2026, Mistral introduced ML4, described by the company as the world's best open model, built with a fraction of the… 81 opinions, 51% Yes

  • Yes — 51%
  • No — 49%

Deadline: January 21, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

In October 2026, Mistral introduced ML4, described by the company as the world's best open model, built with a fraction of the computational power of its competitors and competing in areas such as cybersecurity and finance.

Source: www.cnnbrasil.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se, em qualquer dia entre 2026-10-22 e 2027-01-21, o modelo ML4 da Mistral aparecer entre as 3 primeiras posições na categoria de modelos abertos ('open') do ranking público do Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai). Fonte oficial: leaderboard público do LMSYS/Chatbot Arena.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.

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