Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish final rules on prediction markets by November 30, 2026?
Consider the conclusion of regulatory consultations and the publication of a binding CFTC rule between 10/10 and 11/30/2026. 79 opinions, 80% No
- Yes — 20%
- No — 80%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the conclusion of regulatory consultations and the publication of a binding CFTC rule between 10/10 and 11/30/2026.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 10/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a CFTC publicar no Federal Register a regulamentação definitiva para plataformas de derivativos de previsão até 30/11/2026, conforme divulgado oficialmente no site cftc.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.