Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Supreme Court accept the case on regulation of prediction markets (Kalshi/Polymarket) by March 2027?
New Jersey filed a petition asking the Supreme Court to shut down operations of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
New Jersey filed a petition asking the Supreme Court to shut down operations of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. Politico describes the impending clash as a potential historic 'showdown' over whether states or the federal government should regulate these platforms.
Source: www.politico.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Supreme Court dos EUA confirmar oficialmente o 'certiorari' (aceitação do caso) relacionado à petição de Nova Jersey ou processo similar sobre mercados de previsão antes de 2027-03-01, conforme anúncio público do tribunal em supremecourt.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.