Technology · Open for opinions
Will Anthropic, OpenAI, or xAI formally announce a pause or moratorium on the development of new large AI models by December 2026?
In September 2026, Sam Altman (OpenAI) and Elon Musk (xAI) publicly agreed with Dario Amodei (Anthropic) on the need to slow down AI… 28 opinions, 89% No
- Yes — 11%
- No — 89%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, Sam Altman (OpenAI) and Elon Musk (xAI) publicly agreed with Dario Amodei (Anthropic) on the need to slow down AI development. Engineer Jacob Coxon's viral warning about unforeseen behaviors in advanced models intensified the debate.
Source: www.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos uma das três empresas (Anthropic, OpenAI ou xAI) publicar comunicado oficial em seu site ou press release confirmando pausa formal ou moratória no treinamento/lançamento de novos modelos de fronteira até 2026-12-31. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 89% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 11 points, a wrong one costs about 89.