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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the state of New York pass a bill restricting prediction markets by 11/30/2026?

Kalshi has stepped up lobbying hires in New York to block state legislative proposals [0]. 76 opinions, 61% No

  • Yes — 39%
  • No — 61%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions

Resolution rules

Kalshi has stepped up lobbying hires in New York to block state legislative proposals [0].

Source: truthout.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 03/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Legislativo do Estado de Nova York aprovar em plenário projeto de lei aplicando leis estaduais de palpites contra plataformas de enquetes até 30/11/2026, conforme os portais nyassembly.gov ou nysenate.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.

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Will the state of New York pass a bill restricting prediction… — 61% No · VoxFi