World · Open for opinions
Will the price of Brent crude oil exceed $100 per barrel by December 31, 2026?
The conflict in the Middle East has generated energy price shocks that have pressured global inflation and raised interest rate… 76 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
The conflict in the Middle East has generated energy price shocks that have pressured global inflation and raised interest rate expectations, according to an analysis by PIMCO.
Source: www.pimco.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no preço de fechamento oficial do contrato futuro de petróleo Brent (ICE) em qualquer pregão até 31/12/2026. Fonte: ICE ou Bloomberg/Refinitiv. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se qualquer fechamento diário superar US$ 100/barril; 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.