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Technology · Open for opinions

Will the US announce formal sanctions against any of the Chinese AI companies accused of copying American models by 10/31/2026?

The US government is investigating Chinese AI companies accused of aggressively accessing and circumventing restrictions to use US… 23 opinions, 61% Yes

  • Yes — 61%
  • No — 39%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 23 opinions

Resolution rules

The US government is investigating Chinese AI companies accused of aggressively accessing and circumventing restrictions to use US models.

Source: arstechnica.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 10/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo dos EUA anunciar oficialmente, até 31/10/2026, sanções ou restrições comerciais contra alguma empresa de IA chinesa recentemente acusada de copiar modelos americanos de fronteira. A verificação será pelos sites oficiais do Departamento de Comércio dos EUA ou cobertura da Reuters, AP ou Bloomberg. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.

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Will the US announce formal sanctions against any of the Chinese AI… — 61% Yes · VoxFi