Finance · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass federal legislation regulating prediction markets by December 31, 2026?
Legislative efforts to regulate prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket are stalled in Congress, even as these platforms… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Legislative efforts to regulate prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket are stalled in Congress, even as these platforms grow rapidly and states increasingly push to create their own rules.
Source: www.notus.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se um projeto de lei federal voltado especificamente à regulação de mercados de previsão (prediction markets) for aprovado por ambas as casas do Congresso e sancionado pelo presidente dos EUA até 2026-12-31, conforme registro no Congress.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.