Technology · Open for opinions
Will Anthropic announce an official pause in the development of its new AI models between 09/15 and 10/31/2026?
Consider announcements between 09/15 and 10/31, measuring whether the CEO's call for a slowdown will translate into a change in the… 35 opinions, 69% No
- Yes — 31%
- No — 69%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 35 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider announcements between 09/15 and 10/31, measuring whether the CEO's call for a slowdown will translate into a change in the internal schedule.
Source: www.bbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 15/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Anthropic confirmar em seu site (anthropic.com) ou perfil corporativo no X a paralisação, interrupção ou adiamento do treinamento de seu próximo modelo principal. Declarações sobre cautela que não afetem diretamente o cronograma oficial não contam. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.