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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazil officially become the 6th largest economy in the world (surpassing France) by the end of 2026?

President Lula stated that Brazil 'could already be the 6th economy in the world', sparking debate about the country's position in… 21 opinions, 52% No

  • Yes — 48%
  • No — 52%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

President Lula stated that Brazil 'could already be the 6th economy in the world', sparking debate about the country's position in the global GDP ranking.

Source: www.instagram.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no ranking de PIB nominal do Fundo Monetário Internacional (FMI) ou do Banco Mundial, com dados referentes ao ano de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o Brasil aparecer na 6ª posição ou acima no relatório oficial mais recente disponível até 31/12/2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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