Finance · Open for opinions
Will the federal government's primary deficit exceed 1% of GDP in 2026, according to official data from the National Treasury?
Criticism of the Lula administration's fiscal mismanagement is gaining traction in public debate, with economists warning about… 71 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: March 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
Criticism of the Lula administration's fiscal mismanagement is gaining traction in public debate, with economists warning about fiscal responsibility and the risk of recession in Brazil.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o relatório 'Resultado do Tesouro Nacional' referente ao exercício de 2026 (publicado pela STN em tesouro.fazenda.gov.br) registrar déficit primário do governo central acima de 1% do PIB anual.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.