Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined monthly volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $30 billion by December 2026?
The combined global monthly volume grew from less than $5 billion in September 2025 to around $24 billion in April 2026, indicating a… 47 opinions, 51% No
- Yes — 49%
- No — 51%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 47 opinions
Resolution rules
The combined global monthly volume grew from less than $5 billion in September 2025 to around $24 billion in April 2026, indicating a strong expansion trend. The $30 billion mark would represent an additional 25% growth over the April peak.
Source: www.laprogressive.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução como 'Sim' se o volume mensal agregado de negociações em Kalshi e Polymarket, conforme divulgado por DeFiRate (defirate.com/prediction-markets/volume/) ou fonte equivalente amplamente citada, superar US$ 30 bilhões em qualquer mês até dezembro de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.