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Will Kalshi's annual trading volume exceed US$300 billion in 2026?

According to a second article from The Atlantic dated 02/09/2026, Kalshi's trading volume has already surpassed US$200 billion in… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

According to a second article from The Atlantic dated 02/09/2026, Kalshi's trading volume has already surpassed US$200 billion in cumulative 2026, while Polymarket exceeded US$100 billion in the same period — record levels for the sector.

Source: www.theatlantic.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se a Kalshi divulgar, ou a CFTC publicar em relatório regulatório, volume total de negociações acumulado em 2026 superior a US$ 300 bilhões. Fonte primária: comunicado oficial da Kalshi ou dados da CFTC. Resolve 'Não' caso o volume não atinja esse patamar até 31/01/2027.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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